Form 10
The BBC asked readers for their
predictions of life in 100 years time. Here is what
futurologists Ian Pearson
(IP) and Patrick Tucker (PT) think of the
readers’ ideas. Read the predictions and pay special attention to the use of
the Future Perfect and Future Continuous tenses
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People will be farming oceans extensively and not
just for fish (Jim 300) IP: Likelihood
10/10. We will need to feed 10 billion people and
nature can't keep up with demand, so we will need much more ocean farming for
fish. But algae farming is also on the way for renewable energy, and maybe
even for growth of feedstock (raw materials) or resource extraction via GM
seaweed or algae. |
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We will be communicating through thought transmission (Dev 2) IP: Likelihood 10/10. Transmission will be just
as easy as other forms of brain augmentation. Picking up thoughts and
relaying them to another brain will not be much harder than storing them on
the net. PT: Synthetic telepathy sounds like something out of Hollywood but it is quite
possible, so long as "communication" is understood to be electrical
signals rather than words. |
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Thanks to DNA and robotic engineering, we will have created
incredibly intelligent humans who are immortal. (game_over) IP: Likelihood 9/10. It
is more likely that direct brain links using electronics will achieve this,
but GM will help a lot by increasing longevity - keeping people alive until
electronic immortality technology is freely available at reasonable cost. PT: Good chance. The idea that
breakthroughs in the field of genetics, biotechnology and artificial
intelligence will expand human intelligence and allow our species to
essentially defeat death is sometimes called the Singularity. |
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We will be controlling the weather. (mariebee_) IP: Likelihood 8/10. There is already some weather control technology for mediating
tornadoes, making it rain and so on, and thanks to climate change concerns, a
huge amount of knowledge is being gathered on how weather works. We will
probably have technology to control
weather when we need to. It won't necessarily be cheap enough to use
routinely and is more likely to be used to avoid severe damage in key areas. |
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People will have started to use one single
worldwide currency. (Kennys_Heroes) IP: Likelihood 8/10. This is very plausible. We
are already seeing electronic currency that can be used anywhere, and this
trend will continue. It is quite likely that there will be only a few
regional currencies by the middle of the century and worldwide acceptance of
a global electronic currency. This will gradually mean the others fall out of
use and only one will be left by the end of the century. |
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We will all be wired to computers to
make our brains work faster (Dev 2) IP: Likelihood 10/10. We can expect this as soon as 2050 for many people. By 2075 most
people in the developed world will have
started using machine augmentation of some sort for their
brains and, by the end of the century, pretty much everyone will. If someone
else does this you will have to compete. |
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Nanorobots will be fixing flowing in our
bodies fixing cells, and will be able to record our
memories (Alister Brown) PT: Good chance. Right now, medical nanorobots exist
only in theory and nanotechnology is mostly a materials science. But it's a
rapidly growing field. Nanorobots exist within the realm of possibility, but
the question of when they will arrive is another matter |
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People will be speaking only three
languages - English, Spanish and Mandarin, all other languages will have become
extinct. (Bill Walker) IP: Likelihood
8/10:
This does look like a powerful trend, other languages don't stand a lot of
chance. Minor languages are dying at a huge rate already and the other major
ones are mostly in areas where everyone educated speaks at least one of the
other three. |
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Space elevators will have made space
travel cheap and easy (Ahdok) IP: Likelihood 8/10. First
space elevators will certainly be around, and although "cheap" is a
relative term, it will certainly be a lot cheaper than conventional space
development. It will create a strong acceleration in space development and
tourism will be one important area, but the costs will not be low enough for
most people to try.
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There will be museums for almost every
aspect of nature, as so much of the world's natural habitat will
have been destroyed (LowMaintenanceLifestyles) PT: Pretty close. Earth is on the verge of a
significant species extinction event. Protecting biodiversity in a time of
increased resource consumption, overpopulation, and environmental degradation
will require continued sacrifice on the part of local, often impoverished
communities.. |
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Sovereign nation states will have ceased to exist
and there will be one world government. (krozier93) PT: In
fact, the trend is in the direction of more sovereign nations rather than
fewer. In the coming years, corporations or wealthy private citizens will
attempt to use earth-moving technologies to build their own semi-sovereign
entities in international waters. |
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Discussion
task:
Look at what
other people think about the life in 2100. What is your opinion about these
predictions, are they likely to come true? Fill in the empty cells of the
table.
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Probability score e.g. 8/10 |
Prediction |
Your comments |
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Britain will have had a revolution (holierthanthou) |
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Deserts will have become tropical forests (jim300) |
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Marriage will be replaced by an annual
contract (holierthanthou) |
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Instead of receiving
information from the media, people will be downloading information directly
into their brains (krozier93)
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People will be growing
crops in sand (jim300)
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English will be spelled
phonetically (jim300) |
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